Posted: January 30th, 2022

midterm assignment

INTL 498 Midterm

Order Description
The midterm process is not going to be a paper, nonetheless a mission.

The intention of this process is with the intention to present not your analytic potential (for you should be ready at this stage to do the acceptable pondering) nonetheless fairly your potential to rearrange a difficulty, decide what you need, and the best way you’d treatment the problem using a structured methodology. You are given a list of seven intelligence questions and also you could be anticipated to reply 4 of them for this mission.

Your submission must be in desk sort and by no means exceed two pages per intelligence downside. Each desk should report the primary intelligence downside (given beneath). In your desk you’ll need to interrupt down the primary downside into its parts, then itemizing PIR/EEIs for each half question. You have to decide the analytic methods you’d advocate using to analysis the information to answer the overall question. Lastly you should make clear why these methods are acceptable.

Your submission could be graded using the subsequent rubric (see rubric chart beneath):

1) break the intelligence downside into half questions,
2) articulate Priority Intelligence Requirements and Essential Elements of Knowledge,
three) decide intelligence analysis methods that you simply simply advocate to take care of the problems (based on the type of information you identify and the character of the question),
4) current a textual clarification of why you chose the methods you in all probability did and what it’s possible you’ll anticipate by using the methods,
5) completion of 1-4 above for 4 of the 7 points listed beneath, and
6) demonstration that you have study, understood, and used the required readings

(NOTE: any submission which does not pursue the intention of this assignment–structuring an intelligence question for analysis–will be considered “off-topic” and might assessed a zero).

Just some important concepts:

1) No one methodology can stand alone as an sufficient methodology. It takes making an attempt on the disadvantage from a number of technique to get a major view of the reply to the problem. You have to report the methods that you simply’d advocate and in various phrases decide what the tactic would get hold of. (It is attainable you will choose regardless of format you suppose works most interesting to talk these ideas.) Further, the questions beneath are broad and customary. For those who should make assumptions that may help you deal with each downside please doc your assumptions (that’s further important than you can at first suppose).

2) The “Structured Analytic Methods” e book is a superb begin line, nonetheless it isn’t an entire report of methods. Be at liberty to draw on any methodology you would possibly take heed to. In case you might be concerned that I will not acknowledge your methodology, please current a footnote explaining.

three) It isn’t potential to report all PIRs/EEIs so it is unimaginable to be full given the time obtainable for this process. Nonetheless, I will take into account your alternative of half intelligence questions, intelligence requirements, and the centrality of the methods you advocate to addressing the core nature of the problem.

4) Be sure that it is clear which methods deal with which subproblems.
As an illustration:

Disadvantage: The US has develop into acutely aware that the Pakistanis have supplied missile know-how to Yemen. This stage is confirmed. Nonetheless, it is unclear what the Yemenis are aspiring to do with the know-how. What is the outlook for this enchancment

Subproblems: What know-how was transferred What threats does this pose to the realm, and does this alteration the regional stability of vitality What is the likelihood that Yemen will reexport this know-how to substate groups or states that pose a danger to US pursuits

File associated PIRs/EEIs
Then decide what methods you’d use to answer the problem and subproblems and make clear why these methods are the perfect and most acceptable to answer the questions(!).

You must select 4 out of the subsequent 7 points to take care of for this process:

1) A contemporary wave of terrorism in Egypt is threatening the soundness of the central authorities. What does this suggest

2) Oil prices have spiked and Chinese language language companies have obtained operations and engineering contracts in various Persian Gulf states. What is the likelihood of Chinese language language intervention throughout the Persian Gulf to verify the provision of oil to China

three) The Brazilians have been working with Chinese language language engineers to design and self-discipline a model new satellite tv for pc television for laptop system, suspected to be of navy significance. What’s that this new satellite tv for pc television for laptop system

4) The civil battle in Sudan is raging and it seems an increasing number of attainable that an rather more extremist chief, a acknowledged supporter of al-Qaeda, is coming to vitality. The model new regime is every virulently anti-American and expansionist, talking about Somalia, Egypt, and exporting its beliefs. What does this suggest for the US

5) Killings and kidnappings on the US-Mexican border have escalated, spilling over into the US. Better than 2 dozen People have been kidnapped in California and delivered to Mexico throughout the closing yr (by the best way this reality is true) and have each been held or executed. Working gun battles between drug cartels have escalated. The drug cartels are using IEDs (truly this has not however come to pass–but for the sake of this occasion we’re going to accept it as reality), automated weapons, and grenades. The federal authorities is unable to control the violence and a whole bunch of Mexican troops and police patrol the border cities. Dozens of individuals are killed every month in what has develop into open warfare. What does this suggest for US security

6) The Israelis destroyed a suspected nuclear weapons facility in Syria. Was it truly a nuclear weapons facility What does this suggest for non-proliferation efforts.

7) Iranian interference in house Iraqi politics and security is on the rise. Iranian bomb parts, weapons, propaganda, and personnel are an increasing number of crossing the boarder into Iraq. What does this suggest for the house Iraqi security situation.
I STRONGLY ENCOURAGE YOU TO USE THE UNGRADED DISCUSSION BOARD TO ASK QUESTIONS, SHARE IDEAS, AND WORK COLLABORATIVELY. USE THE REQUIRED TEXTBOOK AND REFLECT BACK ON YOUR PREVIOUS CLASSES (though your submitted work must be your particular person).

The grade could be based on the subsequent elements:

(NOTE: IF A SUBMISSION DOES NOT PURSUE THE GENERAL INTENT OF THE ASSIGNMENT AND IS CONSIDERED “OFF-TOPIC” THE SUBMISSION WILL NOT BE EVALUATED USING THIS RUBRIC AND WILL INSTEAD BE ISSUED A GRADE OF ZERO)

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